Aaron Rodgers is widely considered the best QB in the NFL, and for good reason. In 2014, he led the Packers to their fourth straight division title, was ranked second in passer rating, and won the MVP award. This article will examine the TD passes and runs he had in 2014.
Over my next few articles, I’m going to be covering the biggest positives (touchdowns) and negatives (turnovers) from the NFC North QBs in 2014. Aaron Rodgers had 38 regular season passing and 2 rushing TDs in 2014, along with four passing TDs in the playoffs. First, I’m going to cover some charting data I came up with while watching his passing. Then, on page 2 and beyond, there are my thoughts of the individual plays themselves. Here are the articles in the series that I have completed so far:
Teddy Bridgewater’s 15 TDs.
Teddy Brigewater’s 12 turnovers.
Jay Cutler’s 30 TDs.
Matthew Stafford’s 25 TDs.
Here’s data on the yardage from Rodgers’ TDs:
Yardage Breakdown
| Yards |
905 |
Average |
21.5 |
| Yards after catch |
384 |
Average |
9.1 |
| Yards in Air |
521 |
Average |
12.4 |
| Yards in Air+ |
643 |
Average |
15.3 |
The difference between “Yards in Air” and “Yards in Air+” is that I give credit for yards in the endzone in “Yards in Air+.” So, if the line of scrimmage is the 2 and he throws a TD pass that’s caught 7 yards into the endzone, the YIA for that play is 2 while the YIA+ is 9.
Rodgers throws bombs. With such a large volume of TD passes, you might expect his average yardage on the passes to be relatively low, but that’s not the case. He is helped considerably by a high average yardage after the catch by his receivers, but there were a number of plays where he’d throw a pass 30 yards downfield that Jordy Nelson would take 30 more yards to the house. So, as you’ll see later, it’s not that his receivers are necessarily breaking tackles on every TD, but that they have wide open paths to the endzone after catching the ball.
Despite his receivers amassing a large amount of yardage after the catch, his YIA+ average is still almost three yards higher than his YIA average. This means that when Rodgers throws the ball into the endzone, he’s throwing it near the back line.
This brings me to the next tables, which break his TD passes down by distance and location:
Distance Breakdown
| Fewer than 6 Yards |
14 |
| Between 6 and 15 yards |
12 |
| More than 15 yards |
16 |
Location Breakdown
| Deep Left |
Deep Middle |
Deep Right |
| 4 |
3 |
10 |
| Intermediate Left |
Intermediate Middle |
Intermediate Right |
| 3 |
9 |
2 |
| Short Left |
Short Middle |
Short Right |
| 1 |
3 |
7 |
In terms of TD distances, there’s a pretty even spread here in the first table. However, when you look at the second table, it becomes clear that Rodgers is most dangerous when passing down the field, instead of throwing to shorter routes. His TD passes heavily favor throws to the right on both short and deep routes, but his intermediate passing game sees the most success on routes over the middle of the field. Since Jordy Nelson normally lines up on the right and is amazing at vertical routes, it’s no surprise to see the deep right passes leading the bunch with 10 total TDs to that area of the field.
Now let’s take a look at the route types he threw to:
Route Breakdown
| Vertical |
9 |
| Slant |
6 |
| Flat/Screen |
6 |
| Crossing |
6 |
| Broken Play |
5 |
| Post |
4 |
| Corner |
3 |
| Fade |
2 |
| Curl |
1 |
As with pretty much every other QB I’ve studied, vertical routes lead the way, and screens/flat routes are near the top as well. The Packers seem to do well with routes that break towards the middle of the field, with crossing routes and slants taking up a large percentage of the TD passes. That makes sense, because McCarthy is a disciple of the West Coast offense. Another one of Rodgers’ many skills shows itself here with 5 TDs on broken plays. Rodgers is great at keeping the play alive and then burning the defense with a pass.
Speaking of rollouts, I also tracked plays where Rodgers was pressured or didn’t have a standard dropback:
Dropback Breakdown
| Nothing Unusual |
30 |
| Rollout |
5 |
| Pressured |
9 |
The Packers’ offensive line did a very good job of protecting Rodgers last year, but even when Aaron was pressured he made things happen, with 9 TD passes while facing pressure. That’s the most so far, but it’s also a smaller percentage than most of the other QBs I’ve studied because Rodgers threw a lot of TDs.
Speaking of pressure, how did Rodgers do in close moments? Here’s a look at his TD’s in “Crunch Time” (which I define as the game being within 8 points in either direction with less than 5 minutes left in the game) and “Garbage Time” (down 9 points or more with under two minutes left, 16 points or more with under 6 minutes left, or 21 points or in the 4th Quarter) TDs:
Situational Breakdown
| Crunch Time |
1 |
| Garbage Time |
1 |
Rodgers didn’t come through in the clutch often for the Packers in 2014. That’s not because he’s bad in pressure situations, but because he didn’t need to. The Packers went 12-4, and won a lot of games by a healthy margin. It’s actually also impressive that he didn’t have many garbage time TDs. You’ll see the reason in the next table.
With this talk of crunch time and garbage time TDs, let’s look at his TD breakdown by Quarter:
Quarter Breakdown
| 1st Quarter |
12 |
| 2nd Quarter |
15 |
| 3rd Quarter |
7 |
| 4th Quarter |
8 |
Down Breakdown
| 1st Down |
15 |
| 2nd Down |
9 |
| 3rd Down |
17 |
| 4th Down |
1 |
Rodgers and Co. jumped out to leads early in the game and never looked back. They didn’t need to pass much in the second half because they tended to be up by a lot. So Rodgers comparatively didn’t throw many TDs in the second half. In addition to a strong preference for throwing TDs in the first half, the data shows that he throws a lot more TDs on first and third down than second.
Receiver Breakdown
| Jordy Nelson |
13 |
| Randall Cobb |
13 |
| Devante Adams |
4 |
| Eddie Lacy |
4 |
| Andrew Quarless |
4 |
| Richard Rodgers |
4 |
| Brandon Bostick |
1 |
Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb is a really difficult duo for defenses to defend, especially since Rodgers is the one throwing to him. Adams really played well against the Cowboys in the playoffs, and him emerging as a strong receiving threat would make the Packers’ offense even more overpowered. They even have two big TE targets for plays near the goal line in Quarless and Richard Rodgers.
Since you’re probably tired of tables at this point, for the rest of the article I’m going to break down each TD pass from the film.
2-3-SEA 3 (Q4, 9:37) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
For lack of a better option, I labeled this route a curl, because Cobb’s job on the play is to basically face Rodgers at the goal line and try to give him a window to throw to. That is, in fact, what ends up happening, as the DB does not blanket Cobb, and Rodgers gets the DB to move outside to follow the rollout, then rifles the ball to Cobb with a defender in his face. This is not the easiest throw in the world to make, but Aaron does it with ease.
2-6-NYJ 6 (Q2, :08) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The Packers (intentionally) allow a free rusher on this play and Rodgers gets hit, but the defender on Cobb was late breaking on the slant route, and Rodgers got the pass out so quickly that free rushing defender couldn’t get to him in time.
3-1-NYJ 1 (Q3, 5:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Honestly, the Jets should have their DBs switch responsibility on this play rather than chase their respective receivers. This is just too easy because Cobb gets way too open on the outside route.
1-10-GB 20 (Q3, 2:21) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Nelson runs a very crisp route on this play, an out ‘n’ up. He blows by the CB. Rodgers hits him in stride. Nelson makes the safety miss. Bang, bang, bang, and the Packers have a TD on the first play of their drive.
3-1-DET 10 (Q1, :43) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 81-A.Quarless for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Here Rodgers shows off his pinpoint accuracy. Quarless has inside position on the post and Rodgers threads the needle to him for the TD.
2-3-CHI 3 (Q2, 10:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 87-J.Nelson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
This is a simple fade to Nelson. Rodgers does a great job of placing the ball where Jordy can high-point it.
3-7-CHI 22 (Q2, 1:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 18-R.Cobb for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Randall Cobb gets great burst off of the line of scrimmage and almost immediately runs past the corner covering him in the slot. Rodgers holds the deep safety in position and Cobb is wide open (by NFL standards at least) for the TD.
3-9-CHI 11 (Q3, 4:35) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The Packers’ OL is really responsible for the success of this play, because they keep the Bears’ pass rush totally at bay. Rodgers has an eternity in the pocket, and when Nelson turns finishes his route and turns around, and is fairly open in the endzone. Rodgers unleashes the pass, and Nelson does well to hold on to the football because he was hit as he made the catch for the TD.
1-3-CHI 3 (Q4, 14:56) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
This TD was a result of a bad job of defensive game planning by the Bears, because the play against the Jets two weeks before. The CB on Cobb bites hard on his step inside, and Cobb easily comes open in the left side of the end zone for a simple TD.
2-4-MIN 8 (Q1, 9:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Cobb just beats the CB again on this play. This time, it’s with a corner route. He is very open and makes it an easy throw for Rodgers.
2-7-GB 34 (Q1, 5:29) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 87-J.Nelson for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Nelson, who is running a post route, takes a jab step to the outside and fakes out Harrison Smith, who gets turned around. This means Nelson is wide open deep downfield, and it’s an easy pass to throw for Rodgers and a stroll into the endzone for Nelson.
3-1-MIN 11 (Q2, 4:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Once again the receiver’s route fakes out a DB and lets him get wide open. This time Adams gets the CB to turn his hips to the outside before Adams cuts inside on the slant. Another easy TD pass for Rodgers.
1-9-MIA 9 (Q1, 10:13) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 87-J.Nelson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Both Brent Grimes and the safety get pulled up towards the LoS by the play action fake and Nelson runs right by them to get wide open in the endzone. It doesn’t get much easier from that.
3-5-MIA 5 (Q3, 3:52) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
This is the first TD pass in a while that Rodgers actually had to work for. He does a great job extending the play with his legs, and then Cobb does a good job getting open after Rodgers extends the play. Cobb and Rodgers are clearly operating on the same wavelength.
1-4-MIA 4 (Q4, :06) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 81-A.Quarless for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
This play is a great example of how timing throws can really benefit your offense. Rodgers throws the ball well before Quarless turns his head around. This is a very good thing, because the DB is in tight man coverage on Quarless. Since the play is rhythm based, Quarless knows to expect the ball to be there when he turns around. In man coverage, DBs watch the receivers, not the QB. When the receiver turns around to look for the ball, the DB is taught to attack. The advantage the timing route gives is that by the time Quarless turns around the ball is already almost there and the DB doesn’t have enough time to react to it.
1-10-GB 41 (Q1, 12:01) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Jordy Nelson beats the CB. Rodgers hits Nelson in stride. Nelson makes the safety miss his tackle. Nelson scores. Where have I seen this before? That’s right, in week two against the Jets.
1-3-CAR 3 (Q2, 4:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
It astounds me that teams just don’t seem to learn. This is the third time we’ve seen the exact same play design result in a 3-yard TD for Cobb. Actually, I have to say the Panthers were more prepared for it than the Bears and Jets were, because the rub route that Nelson is running actually comes into effect on this play, when it wasn’t needed at all on the other two. Nelson gets in the path of the slot corner, and this gets Cobb open enough for Rodgers to throw the ball to him. Still, instead of playing a straight up man coverage on these plays the CBs really should be playing a coverage where they switch off receivers when they run routes that cross each other.
1-10-CAR 21 (Q3, 10:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The Panthers are in a zone coverage on this play, and the key is that both Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb soak up two defenders with their routes. This leaves Adams in a wide open whole where two LBs left their zones. Easy TD.
3-10-GB 30 (Q1, 13:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 18-R.Cobb for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
This play is a combination of (mostly) good pass blocking and bad defense by the CB covering Cobb. Linsley does get pushed back, but Rodgers does a good job at avoiding the interior pressure and Linsley does a good job keeping himself in between Rodgers and the pass rusher. It’s really hard to hold a block for as long as he did (and the rest of the OL did even better). Then, the guy covering Cobb does a terrible job of tracking the pass, and it flies over his head completely and he’s totally out of position to make the tackle. Rodgers made sure the safety was out of the play before throwing too. Cobb did the rest, as he did a good job of keeping his footing and turning around to run for the TD.
4-1-CHI 1 (Q1, 6:17) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 86-B.Bostick for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
The Packers ran a play action fake and Bostick ran a crossing route in the opposite direction. He just outran the CB to the spot and was open for the TD. Rodgers did well to miss the official who was almost in the way of the pass.
3-1-CHI 4 (Q1, 3:59) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 81-A.Quarless for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Rodgers has the total athletic package and this play show it. It’s really, really difficult to throw across your body while sprinting in the opposite direction, especially with a DE in your face. Combine that with the fact that he can’t lead Quarless too far or Chris Conte would be able to break up the pass, and this is a really difficult throw.
3-11-GB 27 (Q2, 15:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The CB covering Nelson at the snap did not get the correct play call. He’s playing like it’s Cover 2, but it’s clearly Cover 3 (or Cover 1) because there’s only one deep defender and no rotation at all. Instead, he lets Nelson run by him and get wide open. Bad defense.
2-10-CHI 40 (Q2, 12:17) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
This time it’s the safety’s fault, because it’s Cover 2 and he’s not playing attention. Major Wright was too busy watching Rodgers scramble to see Nelson running towards the endzone. Bad defense, easy TD. Although Rodgers scrambled, he didn’t really even need to.
2-18-GB 44 (Q2, 5:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 27-E.Lacy for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
First of all, excellent downfield blocking by the Packers on the delayed screen. Secondly, have I mentioned that the Bears had a terrible defense in 2014? Seriously, they allowed Rodgers to throw for 10 TDs against them in two games. Horrendous. Here they let Eddie Lacy go for 56 yards totally untouched. This should never happen. Eddie Lacy is not Jamaal Charles. He’s a very good RB, but it’s not because he’s fast; it’s because he’s powerful. He should not be able to get in the endzone without anybody touching him. Pathetic.
3-10-CHI 18 (Q2, :19) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 18-R.Cobb for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Randall Cobb is pretty fast. Here he runs right past the man covering him. Rodgers does a great job with the throw and it’s a TD.
1-6-PHI 6 (Q1, 3:38) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Unless you jump them (or bat the pass down at the line), slant routes are pretty hard to stop. It’s an easy throw for the QB. The one way you can stop a slant route is by beating up the WR so badly that he drops the ball and doesn’t want to do it again. This time, the Eagles get a big hit on Adams, but it’s not enough to knock the ball loose as the rookie does a great job of holding on to the contested catch.
1-10-PHI 27 (Q2, 10:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
In 2014, Bradley Fletcher was a piece of bread that the Eagles put in the toaster and totally forgot about until it was burned beyond all recognition. Jordy Nelson is really hard to defend on go routes, and Fletcher isn’t up to the task. Rodgers makes a great throw to Nelson’s outside shoulder (so it’s away from the CB). Nelson shows his elite boundary awareness when making the catch and taking the one step into the endzone.
3-10-PHI 32 (Q4, 14:52) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 27-E.Lacy for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The Bears got it all wrong.
This is how you should be giving up TDs for Eddie Lacy. Let him bowl over the entirety of your defense on his way to the endzone. Rodgers went to Lacy, his checkdown option, after (once again) some seriously great pass protection by his offensive line.
1-1-MIN 1 (Q2, 5:30) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 89-R.Rodgers for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
This is probably the farthest distance through the air that a 1 yard TD pass has ever travelled. The Vikings’ defense focuses on the crossing routes by the Packers and just kind of forgets about Richard Rodgers, who is the definition of wide open. It still isn’t too easy of a throw for Rodgers though, because he has to launch the pass off of his back foot with a defender in his face. It’s impressive that he was so accurate that Rodgers could just stand in place and wait for the ball to come to him.
2-5-MIN 10 (Q4, 8:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 27-E.Lacy for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The Packers found a soft spot in the Vikings defense as Rodgers shoveled a pass to Lacy. The fact that a diving Chad Greenway tripped a pursuing Captain Munnerlyn didn’t help the Vikings either.
1-10-NE 32 (Q1, :15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 89-R.Rodgers for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Rodgers’ pump fake on this play even made the cameraman flinch. Richard Rodgers outran Patrick Chung and ended up open for a TD.
3-2-NE 45 (Q2, :23) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 87-J.Nelson for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Darelle Revis getting beat is a very rare occurrence. Here, Jordy Nelson does a really good job of disguising his route and then cutting very sharply to the inside. The route was basically indefensible, even for someone as good as Revis. Rodgers has a perfect throw too, as he hits Nelson in stride for the TD.
1-1-ATL 1 (Q2, 4:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 27-E.Lacy for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
None of Rodgers’ receivers get open, but Lacy leaks out of the backfield and has enough room to fall across the goal line. Good job by Rodgers of moving quickly to his checkdown.
3-10-ATL 10 (Q2, :31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Rodgers jukes Kroy Biermann out of his shoes to extend the play here. It’s a great show of his ability to avoid pressure. Once Rodgers escapes the pocket, Nelson does a good job of finding an open spot in the endzone to get open for the TD.
1-10-GB 40 (Q4, 10:38) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 87-J.Nelson for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
This is very similar to the play where Nelson beat Harrison Smith for a TD earlier in the year. He got the safety to flip his hips to the outside and then it was all over. Nelson is too fast for the DB to be able to recover from that mistake, and Rodgers hits the receiver in stride.
3-1-TB 1 (Q4, 2:51) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Like I said before, slant routes are really hard to defend unless they get jumped. Here Rodgers does a good job of keeping the throw low so Nelson can duck under the impending hit and have an easier time catching the ball.
1-4-DET 4 (Q2, 2:30) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
This play is important for more than just the TD, which Rodgers did a great job to create. You can see at the end that Rodgers takes a weird hop and collapses to the ground after the throw. He injured his calf on the play, and that definitely affected his play in the playoffs. Anyway, back to the play. Rodgers avoids pressure and escapes a messy pocket. He makes that look easy, and then Cobb does a good job of moving with Rodgers. This makes it a pretty easy TD throw for Aaron.
3-4-DET 13 (Q3, 3:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Really great route running by Cobb here. He gets the CB facing towards the boundary and then changes direction really quickly, coming open on the inside. Rodgers gets to place the easy throw perfectly for the TD.
3-4-DAL 4 (Q1, 8:34) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 81-A.Quarless for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Even with an injury, Rodgers was still able to use his mobility to make a TD happen. His moving up in the pocket caused the LB to move towards him, which opened up Quarless in the back of the endzone.
3-15-DAL 46 (Q3, 1:52) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Adams does a good job of getting a step on the corner covering him. Rodgers makes a pinpoint throw. Adams makes a defender miss and scores. This is a pretty play all around by the Packers.
1-10-DAL 13 (Q4, 9:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 89-R.Rodgers for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
This is the most difficult TD throw of the bunch. First of all, Rodgers once again moved out of a collapsing pocket into an open part of the field. Then, the window he’s throwing through is tiny. There’s absolutely no margin for error on this throw, and Rodgers does it perfectly.
2-5-SEA 13 (Q1, :06) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
I’m sorry about the skip in this play, but the Packers-Seahawks tape is a little messed up and that’s just how this play is. Anyway, this is just another one of those “Rodgers escapes the pocket, a receiver finds open space in the endzone, Rodgers finds him for the TD” plays that Aaron and Co. are so good at. They should patent it.
1-10-NO 14 (Q4, 5:13) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles up the middle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
You don’t want to leave Rodgers a gaping hole up the middle to run through.
2-1-DET 1 (Q4, 8:56) 12-A.Rodgers up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
QB sneaks are effective. I don’t understand why teams don’t use them more often on the goal line.
So, here you got to witness Aaron Rodgers in all of his glory. He has it all. His physical tools are off the charts. He’s on par mentally with any QB in the league (ok, his mental game probably isn’t quite to the level as Manning, Brady, and Brees but he’s in the same ballpark and I’m splitting hairs here). When you look at these plays as a whole, one thing sticks out to me above all else: precision. Rodgers is like a machine. You’d think, with 42 plays, there would at least be a few where Rodgers made an iffy throw and got bailed out by a great catch. That simply didn’t happen. There were only a couple of plays where a receiver even had to noticeably adjust to the pass. It’s ridiculous. Nobody should be that good all the time, but Rodgers is.
There is one other thing that pops out to me: the Packers have great route runners. On the majority of these throws, the receiver is pretty open. At the very least, the receiver has a step on the defender. There are a few where Rodgers had to thread the needle but not many. Rodgers is totally precise, but the fact that his receivers get open easily on a regular basis is a testament to both the play design and their ability. It makes Rodgers’ life much easier.